Topic: Every Ten Minutes Winners (Read 1209 times)

chrisfst · « **Reply #45 on:** September 20, 2005, 07:55:00 AM »

I won on 9/5 with 130 codes, i also started a forum for those who are participating in the contest,
freestufftimes.com/every10minutes

xbox360winner · « **Reply #46 on:** September 21, 2005, 10:14:00 PM »

118 - total codes
40 - codes in winning time slot
2 - bottles of pop purchased
1 - bottles of pop consumed by me

I am the orange cap ninja!

And by the way, you have better odds of winning if you dump them all into one time slot. The reason most of the winners are 1-10ers is that the odds are in their favor collectively. You could be in a drawing with 501 people all with one code each. You could dump 499 codes into that one drawing. The odds would be against you and for someone with one code in. But do the math and you'll see that your personal odds drop as you spread your codes out. More chances to see your initials pop up, but less likelyhood that they would overall. Yeah it's prolly more fun that way, but it's prolly even more fun to play your free xbox360 before anyone else. And even more fun telling everyone about it from now til Nov.

Congrats to all winners.

snow rider221 · « **Reply #47 on:** September 21, 2005, 11:40:00 PM »

HOW do you guys get this many codes?!?!?

esc1 · « **Reply #48 on:** September 22, 2005, 12:55:00 AM »

Congrats to the winners.

gcskate27 · « **Reply #49 on:** September 22, 2005, 01:11:00 AM »

xbox360winner · « **Reply #50 on:** September 22, 2005, 05:16:00 AM »

Ahem, sorry. I can see where my thinking isn't complete.

The math is right, but the setup is wrong. If you could walk up to 50 static drawings where your own inputs didn't matter then yes, this would be right and yes, I am wrong. But when you drop 50 into one slot people will be less likely to put their codes in that slot as opposed to the next slot or the previous slot. That's why the numbers for each time slot end up close to the same ammount (depending on time of day). So you have to do the odds of 50/800 vs. 1-(799/800)^50 The true answer is somewhere in between though as I can see that neither method accounts for the reality of randomness.

So the conclusion is simple... Getting into an off-peak time slot is more important than how you spread out your codes. I'm glad I read that post cause I thought I had this thing all figured out. Thanks "exint" for copy/posting that.

boxrocker · « **Reply #51 on:** September 22, 2005, 05:31:00 AM »

The math isn't wrong, the logic is.

He is adding up the percentages. Instead he should take an average since each drawing is unique.

Off-peak drawings are the key. I would suggest playing 10 codes in the slots early in the morning.

boxrocker · « **Reply #52 on:** September 22, 2005, 07:35:00 AM »

Why in the hell would you do 800/801? First of all, that's saying you are putting 800 codes into a slot that has 801.

Here is the REAL math.

You have one code. Say there are a total of 800 entries at the time of drawing.

Your percentage of winning is calculated by:

100 * 1 / 800

That is .125 % of the entries. Thats your chance of winning.

And it doesn't matter if you enter 50 or 500 like that. Your chances don't go up or down because each drawing is UNIQUE.

The only chance you have is to pick drawings that have lower totals and/or enter more codes into a single drawing.

boxrocker · « **Reply #53 on:** September 22, 2005, 10:19:00 AM »

Comcipher · « **Reply #54 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:13:00 PM »

QUOTE(gcskate27 @ Sep 22 2005, 01:22 AM)

ive used 55 codes so far, entered another 367... waiting to fill the account to play them... but im undecided as to how to divy them up as so many of you are...

boxrocker · « **Reply #55 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:23:00 PM »

Play the ones between 2 -5 am EST. Those are the ones that have the fewest entries.

If you have 500, I would put 100 codes in two, 75 in two, 50 in two, and 10 in five.

That will spread them out a bit but still keep your chances ok.

Mjkthirdeye · « **Reply #56 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:26:00 PM »

QUOTE(smilecme @ Sep 22 2005, 03:36 PM)

Not to be rude or anything but I think Rita will knock some of the south out of the game for a couple of days. So we easterners may have a better chance this weekend

boxrocker · « **Reply #57 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:30:00 PM »

QUOTE(smilecme @ Sep 22 2005, 04:36 PM)

Not to be rude or anything but I think Rita will knock some of the south out of the game for a couple of days. So we easterners may have a better chance this weekend

esc1 · « **Reply #58 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:56:00 PM »

Mjkthirdeye · « **Reply #59 on:** September 22, 2005, 02:56:00 PM »

QUOTE(smilecme @ Sep 22 2005, 03:39 PM)

you know I wasn't trying to be mean or nasty. I was just bring it up. Sorry. I don't want anyone to get hurt. It's horrible as it is. Geez

Author Topic: Every Ten Minutes Winners (Read 1209 times)