Here is a more realistic roadmap.
Both camps need to somehow magically make their format more convenient than regular old DVD. Not happening in '08.
But, between the 2, HD-DVD is more convenient than Blu-ray. Even users "in-the-know" are messed up by all the Blu-ray specs. Unless, the user owns a PS3. Then, the convenience is in not buying something new.
Different ways they could have improved convenience, if they would have just picked one:
- make discs have mandatory backwards compatibility
- move away from optical discs to solid state media (obviously not backwards compatible)
- make discs more portable
- content updates (not player updates) and/or exclusive web content via set top player
- grille you ham & cheese sandwiches
- massage your back
- I am completely out of ideas, but I figured more bullets would make it look like I had this well thought out.
DVD stomped out VHS not because of video quality but because of convenience.
Proof:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D-VHS