v1.0 xbox (2002)
matrix chip
Xecutor 4983 bios
250gb WD hdd
-signed onto live for first time on afternoon of 11/9/2004
-played on live all afternoon 11/9/2004
-played on live afternoon of 11/11/2004) -- NOT BANNED
-1 french profile, 1 NTSC profile (live profile)
-NO campaign game saves
-multiple french game variants saves (have not used any on live yet)
I think the theory of married EEprom & hdd serial # is a valid one. I think those 2 #'s are recorded every time you access your live account. If ever the 2 numbers don't match, they'll know and a ban is the result.
My xbox is highly modded, avalaunch dash from C:, apps in E:, Emu's, movies, etc. I can only assume that if they were going through the actual hdd files I'd already be banned. Since I never had a Live account w/ previous hdd, this eeprom and hdd serial#'s are the only #'s they have for my xbox, nothing else to compare to.
I have several friends with older live accounts and upgraded HDD's, they're scared to death to sign onto Live, so if there's an alternative to buying a new xbox, we're interested.
Hope this helps