Is everyone that is getting banned have a 12 month subscription or a 2 month subscription? Because i just started on live about 15 days ago, and i have a 200GB HDD with 50 games, and numerous apps, and dashboards on the HDD. I have never been banned before and i have yet to be banned. Does M$ ban people who are using the 2 month subscription or do they wait untill you shell out 50 bucks for a years and then ban you? My hypothesis on all this was that maybe they were scanning peoples hdd for that "certain leaked game" and are banning people that have it on their hard drive or have a gamesave on their hdd. I was thinking this because it seems like some people got banned right after they were playing this "certain game" on xbc or something and then tried to get on live to find out they were banned. But i do think that the gamertag and HDD serial number are a good reason for right now, someone should try it, put in a stock hdd from another xbox, get a 2 month subscription (if m$ bans 2 months), go on live with the chip on thus banning that eeprom, hdd, and gt, then switch hdds,eeproms, then sign up with another 2 month and see if you get banned.