MS said one version many times. I don't even know why what these analysts pull out of their asses make you go WOW!
They thought Xbox would fail. Did it?
They thought the PS2 would be 50% of it's owners new personal computer. Did that happen?
Analysts could say anything but all they are doing are guessing things. If they are right, then they get paid. Also, the second reason why they do this is to keep their columns alive. At times like this, with no new news, they still gotta rack in 4-5 stories a week.