one thing that we are over looking
Ceva said it was the stealth that was doing people in
I have verified TWO consoles with non stealth get banned when trying to sign on
people going back to original then going online have been ok.
so if stealth was the reason the 1.41 shouldnt have been banned now I understand I could have been flagged earlier, but the lastest console I experimented on got banned, was NEVER on live...EVER went from a 1.51 to a 1.41 non stealth and then went online
I think what happen is MS keeps a log of all xboxs that enter live, until the recent ban wave (or when they found out how to) MS had no way of detecting what variables ment modded.
once they found out all they had to do was run the logs of the xboxes that connected to live through a search for those variables that constitute a ban.
the program tries to find them and locks that console from live, now why i think some people that are modded have not been banned and why some that are fully legit have is because of the method and varibles used to detect bans that its not perfect.
thats why i believe it doesnt matter when you last turned on your xbox, if it connected to live ever with a modded firmware MS has its log and all they needed to do was run all the logs through the system if your console met the variables that constitute a ban, your console is done
doesnt matter when u turn it on or if u go to any other firmware (unless LT tricks MS into scanning again which I highly doubt it does)
why I think some people are getting away with going to non stealth is because 1) they never went on live 2) they went on live with a legit stock firmware 3) were lucky enough to not get flagged, and the reason some people are getting away with going to stock and not getting banned is because MS could have not had enough logs of your console to confirm a ban and were waiting for more logs or the next search, and now that you have stock its searching for variables that arent there because your console is not legit..
thats just my 2 cents, take them or leave them.