Based on that CRL, yes.
Hopefully by then someone will have figured out a way to spoof the version the dash reports back to the game so that the game thinks it's already been updated? I'm thinking that this would not require you to extract you CPU key, and would thus not require you to have a pre-8xxx dash version?
That is to say, unless there's something in the dash update that would be required for the game to work.
*edit* As an added note, those updates are offline, and thus contain a static CLR in them. Someone could potentially extract and decrypt the CLR, and users could use the non-hacking methods to check their console ID, and then decide whether or not they can risk applying the patch to their console?
I mean, ultimately you will, as you said, eventually be unable to play any new games, but only until you're unable to install the patches and they become a prerequisite to being able to install.
At this point you would have to accept your console is essentially 'frozen in time' and can only play games up until X date, and get yourself a new, as of yet unlisted and thus unbanned console, instead.
This post has been edited by lollercakes: Nov 10 2009, 09:53 PM